⚡ Breaking — July 24-25, 2026
The 10% Section 122 global surcharge expired at midnight on July 24, 2026 after hitting its 150-day statutory limit. New Section 301 "forced labor" tariffs of 10% or 12.5% on imports from 60 countries entered into force the same day — with no gap between the two regimes.
The 10% Section 122 surcharge had been the defining feature of US trade policy since February 24, 2026. Importers planned around it, filed lawsuits over it, and priced products with it baked in. Before the sun came up on July 24, it was gone. But the rate cuts many importers hoped for never materialized. A new tariff regime was already in place.
Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974 has a hard statutory ceiling: a maximum rate of 15%, a maximum duration of 150 days, and no mechanism for presidential extension. Congress did not vote to extend it. The clock ran out at 12:01 AM EDT on July 24.
The administration, however, had been preparing the replacement for weeks. On July 23, USTR finalized the action it had been building since March — a Section 301 investigation focused on forced labor enforcement across 60 trading partners. The Federal Register notice dropped the morning of July 23. Less than 24 hours later, both regimes operated simultaneously for a matter of minutes before Section 122 lapsed entirely.
The sequence was deliberate. There was never going to be a gap. What changed was the legal authority, the country-specific rates, and critically — the expiration timeline. Section 301 has no sunset clause.
Unlike Section 122, which applied a flat 10% to virtually every country, the new Section 301 forced labor tariffs are tiered. Countries are sorted into two groups based on their compliance posture with US forced labor import prohibitions.
These countries have either enacted domestic legislation prohibiting imports made with forced labor, or have made binding commitments to do so under US-negotiated frameworks.
| Country | New Rate |
|---|---|
| Argentina | 10% |
| Bangladesh | 10% |
| Cambodia | 10% |
| Canada | 10% (USMCA-qualifying goods exempt) |
| Ecuador | 10% |
| El Salvador | 10% |
| Guatemala | 10% |
| Honduras | 10% |
| India | 10% |
| Indonesia | 10% |
| Jordan | 10% |
| Malaysia | 10% |
| Mexico | 10% (USMCA-qualifying goods exempt) |
| Pakistan | 10% |
| Sri Lanka | 10% |
| Trinidad and Tobago | 10% |
| United Kingdom | 10% |
Five economies with existing US trade frameworks receive rates expressed as net of their MFN base duty, effectively limiting the total tariff impact to a ceiling.
| Country / Bloc | Rate Structure |
|---|---|
| European Union | 10% (subject to trade agreement ceiling) |
| Taiwan | 10% net of MFN |
| Japan | 12.5% net of MFN (est.) |
| South Korea | 12.5% net of MFN (est.) |
| Switzerland | 12.5% net of MFN (est.) |
Countries not included in the forced labor compliance tier face the higher rate. This group includes most of the world's largest US import sources.
| Country | New Rate |
|---|---|
| China | 12.5% (stacks on existing Section 301) |
| Vietnam | 12.5% |
| Thailand | 12.5% |
| Brazil | 12.5% |
| Russia | 12.5% |
| Turkey | 12.5% |
| Other non-listed | 12.5% |
📋 Exemption Categories
USMCA-qualifying goods from Canada and Mexico remain exempt — same as under Section 122. Non-USMCA goods from both countries face the standard 10% forced labor rate.
Textile and apparel from CAFTA-DR countries (El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, and others) are exempt under existing trade agreement terms.
Section 232 products — steel (50%), aluminum (50%), copper (50%), and automobiles (25%) — do not stack with the new Section 301 forced labor rate, same as the Section 232/Section 122 non-stacking rule.
471 HTSUS subheadings were excluded from Section 301 forced labor coverage following public comment review.
Tariff-rate quota mechanism applies to textile imports from Bangladesh, Cambodia, Indonesia, and Malaysia.
| Section 122 (expired) | Section 301 Forced Labor (new) | |
|---|---|---|
| Rate | 10% flat, global | 10% or 12.5% by country |
| Duration | 150 days max | No expiration date |
| Rate ceiling | 15% statutory max | No ceiling |
| Legal basis | Balance-of-payments emergency | Forced labor enforcement |
| USMCA exemption | Yes | Yes |
| Sec. 232 stacking | No stacking | No stacking |
| Congressional override | Required to extend | Can be modified by USTR |
The absence of a sunset clause is the most consequential difference. Every import decision you make with Section 122 came with a built-in question mark: what happens July 24? That uncertainty is now replaced with a permanent framework — one that USTR can adjust through investigation findings, but that carries no automatic expiration.
China is the only country where the new tariff unambiguously adds to an already heavy burden. The existing Section 301 China tariffs — ranging from 7.5% to 100% by product — remain fully in force. The new 12.5% forced labor rate stacks on top. On consumer electronics from China, the effective rate moves from approximately 35% to roughly 37.5%. On apparel, already at 43%+, it pushes past 55%.
Vietnam, Thailand, and Cambodia move from 10% (Section 122) to 12.5% (Section 301 forced labor). That's a 2.5-point increase — material on high-volume imports. More significantly, these countries no longer benefit from the certainty that Section 122 would expire and potentially disappear. The 12.5% rate is now the indefinite baseline.
Cambodia and Indonesia, however, landed in the 10% tier thanks to their forced labor import prohibition frameworks — slightly better than Vietnam's 12.5%.
USMCA-compliant goods from Canada and Mexico remain exempt, exactly as under Section 122. Non-USMCA goods face 10%. The key caveat: Section 338 tariffs of 50% on certain Canadian goods are scheduled to take effect August 19, 2026 — a separate action with significant exposure for specific product categories.
The EU's existing trade framework with the US effectively caps total tariff exposure at 15% on most goods, limiting the practical impact of the new 10% forced labor rate on European imports.
Chinese e-commerce platforms — Temu, AliExpress, and Shein — now operate under a combined effective rate that pushes past 50% on most consumer goods. The 48% effective rate that had applied under Section 122 moves to approximately 50.5% under the new stacking structure. As we predicted in our expiration analysis, the transition was seamless at the customs border — no reprieve.
🧮 Updated Calculator
Our US Import Tariff Calculator has been updated with the new Section 301 forced labor rates by country. Enter your origin country and product category to see how your landed cost changes from July 24 forward.
The Section 122-to-Section 301 handoff was not just an administrative transition. It represents a structural shift in how the US uses tariff authority. Section 122 was emergency law — a blunt instrument with hard limits designed to be temporary. Section 301 is enforcement law — it can be targeted, it can be raised, and it doesn't expire. The administration has moved from a tool that the courts could challenge on procedural grounds to one with 50 years of precedent behind it.
For importers, the practical implications are clear: there is no longer a natural reset point on the horizon. Planning for tariff exposure isn't a 90-day exercise anymore. The new regime invites a longer-term rethinking of supply chains — which is almost certainly the policy intent.